Thompkins’ sleeper label just expired. (USAT)
When requested “How meaningful is the preseason to you?” the vast majority of Roto Arcade readers, almost 60-%, chalked up exhibition play as nothing more than a string of nugatory gown rehearsals. But this is two phrases that suggest the contrary: Alfred Morris. Last 12 months, the Redskins rookie put the league on notice in Week three of the preseason by trampling the Colts, a performance that propelled him to fantasy greatness. Sure, a lot of the exhibition slate lacks substance, however real, tangible takeaways will be made, precious insights that give house owners a profitable edge. This month, from Weeks 1-3, the Noise will attempt to decipher the significant from the meaningless.
FLAMIN’ SIZZLING CHEAT.. OHS!
Kenbrell Thompkins, NE, WR – Barely a mention on the TV crawl when signed as an undrafted free agent a couple of months again, Thompkins is rapidly becoming to receivers what Alfred Morris was to rushers a season ago. Terribly underused at Cincinnati, the rookie has made seismic waves this preseason. He is not the most important, strongest or quickest goal, but he might be the savviest. His ankle-breaking cuts and superb route-working expertise are quite possibly New England’s best, even higher than Wes Welker-clone Danny Amendola’s. With the veteran unavailable Thursday in Detroit, Thompkins took the chance to showcase his wares. The lone highlight on an in any other case abysmal evening for the Pats (4 turnovers), he was targeted a group-excessive 12 instances, hauling in a game-best eight receptions for 116 yards. The teenager once more ran sharp, precise routes executing flawlessly on designed sideline outs, streaks and posts across the middle. Most impressively, he humiliated corners Chris Houston and Darius Slay off the road, hitting the juke button to beat press protection. It might’t be overstated, the child has not solely locked down the ‘X’ role in an explosive offense, he presumably may emerge as essentially the most coveted rookie, regardless of position, this season. Take note the guy throwing to him, Tom Brady, is still one of the league’s most accurate quarterbacks (sixty five.6 completion proportion since ’07). At this level, he could exceed my original sixty five-800-5 fearless forecast. Confidently attain for his providers a spherical or two early (one hundred ten.6 ADP, WR44).
Reggie Bush, Det, RB – Coerce a random individual. Power him/her to sit down firmly on a hot poker inside eyeshot of a swimming pool. Then release the adrenaline-dashing hostage into the wild. That’s what Bush appeared like Thursday against New England. On designed screens and swings, which the Pats purchased into hook, line and sinker, Matthew Stafford torched the blitz, connecting with Bush quite a few instances within the short-field. On his largest acquire of the evening (sixty seven yards), he showcased classic elusiveness and explosion. As said previously, Bush, assuming he staves off the injury imp, will end inside the RB top-12 in PPR codecs. His TD whole most likely won’t surpass 6-8, however a minimum of 1,four hundred whole yards and 75 receptions are within the offing. If you happen to’re in a receptions-friendly format, don’t let him escape Spherical 2 (20.1 ADP, RB16).
Christine Michael, Sea, RB – The depth Seattle has at running back is an embarrassment of riches. Marshawn Lynch, Robert Turbin and the electric rookie from Texas A&M are all able-bodied rushers able to shouldering sizable workloads. Taken within the second round of final April’s draft, Michael, pound-for-pound, is perhaps the purest runner from this 12 months’s rookie class. He’s well-constructed (5-foot-10, 220-pounds), extremely explosive, decisive and undeterred. Though he’s faced principally scrubs this preseason, his 6.eight yards per carry common on 27 totes has positively stirred the drink. Without question Lynch will run till the Skittles stop flowing, but if derailed by harm, Michael would probably leapfrog Turbin into the beginning lineup. Underneath that situation, a high-10 RB output wouldn’t be far-fetched. Take into accout the ‘Hawks’ offensive line is one of the league’s best. Mark my phrases, in the very near future Michael will probably be in contention for a dashing title. He is that ridiculous.
David Wilson, NYG, RB – When you plan to purchase Wilson sometime within the close to future, chances are you’ll must prostitute your self on the nearest street corner to boost funds essential to afford his services. After ripping off an 84-yard TD scamper on his first carry of Saturday evening’s scrimmage against the Jets, his value instantly marched northward. Nonetheless, slow your roll. The sophomore rusher is a star-in-the-making, but don’t mechanically assume he’ll morph into an every-down man-crush. Andre Brown, who’s a superior cross-blocker and receiver, will keep Wilson somewhat under wraps. View him as the NFC’s version of Chris Johnson. When he is hitting home runs, he’ll be spectacular, however when he isn’t, he’ll put up rather mundane fantasy totals. His explosiveness is alluring, simply don’t overspend in non-keeper codecs (ADP: 30.3, RB19). Roughly 1,300-1,four hundred complete yards with 5-7 TDs are in my fearless forecast.
Justin Blackmon, Jax, WR – Usually neglected by the typical drafter, the mouthy extensive receiver again stood out of the gang, this time towards Philly. Focused a group-high seven instances, he pulled in four receptions for 50 yards. His night was punctuated with a 17-yard TD seize from Chad Henne. Ignoring his prima dona perspective, Blackmon is an especially talented receiver who can run each route within the tree. Although he lacks an extra gear, his physicality at the level of attack and sharp breaks enable him to realize separation. Due to his 4-recreation suspension and unappealing QB scenario, he’s closely discounted in all codecs. Nonetheless, if sipping margaritas in your free agent pool anytime after choose No. one hundred twenty, toss him a line. As soon as eligible to return, he should pay a good-looking dividend. Recall he was the sixth-finest fantasy WR from Weeks eleven-17 final 12 months.
Knowshon Moreno, Den, RB – Breathe. That is all that was needed for Moreno to reenter the starting operating back competition. Over much of the first quarter, Ronnie Hillman was a person on a mission. He ran aggressively, discovered lower-back lanes and consumed sizable chunks of real estate (9 touches, forty nine yards). Sadly, he fumbled but once more, his third of the preseason. Montee Ball, though effective in the go game, inched his option to lackluster numbers. He did bull into the top-zone against Rams backups in the third quarter, however his uninspiring three.1 yards per carry as soon as once more left lots to be desired. Moreno, meanwhile, didn’t enter the game until the second half, however proved productive. Total, he tallied seventy five yards from scrimmage on just eight touches. His knees may be held together with chewing gum and duct tape, but the passed over veteran is again in rivalry. Terrific in move pro, dependable as a receiver and occasional impactful between the tackles, he may be probably the most well-rounded RB at present on the Broncos roster. His experience and quality play in six begins final yr (110.8 typg, 3 TDs) may elevate him into the captain’s chair. Time will tell, but contemplating his low-cost price tag (ADP: 147.2, RB54), you have little to lose.
You may wish to suppose twice earlier than signing D-Will. (USAT)
BLAME IT ON THE LAME
DeAngelo Williams, Car, RB – Admittedly, I am a Williams fanboy. Ever for the reason that ‘Little Napoleon’ conquered opponents in 2008, he is owned my admiration. Nevertheless, bold declarations claiming he’ll be a reliable RB2 this season must stop. Used sparingly this preseason, he’s appeared sluggish, well-aged and usually unexciting. His 49 yards on 17 carries (2.eight ypc) is Exhibit A. Jonathan Stewart’s murky early-season availability is a plus, however don’t count on D-Will to abruptly turn back the clock. Underneath new offensive coordinator Mike Shula, who coached QBs in Charlotte final year, the offense will change little. Mike Tolbert will fill the Stewart void and Cam Newton will call his quantity often inside the 10, leaving only in-between-the-20s scraps for Williams. An uptick in touches from last year (eleven.6 per game) is possible, however he will not be a 20-carry workhorse – 12-15 touches per sport seems real looking. Worse yet, Carolina opens at residence against run-stiff Seattle. Unfortunately, Williams is nothing more than a marginal FLEX again in 12-crew and deeper leagues.
Stevie Johnson, Buf, WR – With E.J. Manuel recovering from minor knee surgery, Kevin Kolb was gifted a possibility to state his case for the beginning gig against Washington. Naturally, the quarterback, who embarrassingly bought hurt slipping on a observe area mat earlier in camp, exited stage left with concussion-like signs. Given the rash of setbacks impacting Buffalo QBs, it is totally attainable third-stringer Jeff Tuel, an undrafted rookie out of Washington St., might take first-crew snaps Week 1 versus New England. Tuel flashes solid mechanics and contact, but could be a deer in headlights towards a strong blitz. If Invoice Belichick will get the opportunity to throw the kitchen sink at him, you already know he’ll, probably limiting Johnson’s value as a receiver. Due to the Payments’ ongoing defensive woes, Stevie has reasonable odds of tallying his fourth-straight 1,000-yard season. Nevertheless, even with the changing of the guard at head coach, purple-zone targets (sixteen in 2012) and subsequently TDs for the receiver will likely be a rarity. Spend your draft picks elsewhere. Golden Tate, Mike Williams, Chris Givens and the aforementioned Thompkins are more engaging choices going some 15-20 picks after Johnson (86.7 ADP, WR34).
Miami HC Joe Philbin/ GM Jeff Ireland – Sherlock Holmes would agree, the blokes calling the shots in Miami have no bleeping clue. As reported late late week, rumors of a full-blown RBBC on South Seaside made the rounds in Fantasyland, a mind-blowing growth. On Saturday towards Tampa, Lamar Miller clearly showed why he deserves to tote the lion’s share. As he’s finished typically this preseason, he displayed higher speed, chopping means and imaginative and prescient than the vanilla Daniel Thomas. Total, he averaged 4.4 yards per carry. Thomas, in the meantime netted a whopping 0.4 ypc. Inspiring. The latter may see motion on third-downs, but when Philbin and Ireland pull-head-from-posterior and work out the remedial math, the former should dominate early-down and presumably purpose-line work. Miller has logged quite a lot of touches inside the five in exhibition play. That happens and he would emerge a fringe prime-20 RB. Joe and Jeff, please, do the right thing.
Chris Ivory, NYJ, RB – No shock to anybody, the Jets are again the laughing stock of the league. Geno Smith goes all Dan Orlovsky in the back of finish-zones. Mark Sanchez is coping with a bum shoulder, grizzly toenail and sprained skull. And Santonio Holmes has the ache threshold of a Brooklyn hipster. For the cruel local media, the Jets’ on-subject depravity is the present that retains on giving. Sadly, that is not the case for Ivory. Used solely sporadically this preseason, the ex-Saint, who the Jets paid a fourth-spherical pick to acquire final April, hasn’t moved the meter. Bilal Powell, in the meantime, has. The ‘backup’ rusher has outgained, outplayed and usually run circles around Ivory this summer season. Given the alleged starter’s injury-ridden previous and ineffectiveness within the cross game, his role might be smaller than you assume. New York’s run-blocking ought to once more be good, but towards fully stacked traces second-tier runs might be few and far between. Shane Vereen, Andre Brown and Ben Tate, all going after Ivory in average drafts, are higher choices.
Arizona Cardinals O-Line – The Playing cards’ trench hogs, ramrodded constantly by the media and fantasy community last 12 months, underwent an offseason makeover underneath new head coach Bruce Arians and freshman GM Steve Keim. Sadly, the most prized piece of that rebuilding venture, rookie guard Jonathan Cooper, suffered a broken leg in opposition to San Diego, ending his season. Prior to Cooper’s exit, the road confirmed measurable improvement, significantly in run-blocking. Blocks were held. Lanes had been created. And on thirteen carries Rashard Mendenhall resembled the top-seven fantasy rusher from 2010 (seventy nine yards, 6.1 ypc). Not all hope is misplaced. Backup Paul Fanaika has reportedly had an outstanding camp, but the veteran lineman, taking part in for his fourth crew in three years, has huge shoes to fill. Due to the expected excessive-quantity, Mendy remains to be a top-notch worth decide in the middle rounds (66.1 ADP, RB31), however he stays extra FLEX than RB2 materials.
QUICK HITTERS: As the fantasy group mourns the loss of Le’Veon, one other Bell, Joique, who’s gained much praise from Jim Schwartz this preseason, is quietly making a robust sleeper case. Mikel Leshoure, who tallied essentially the most rush makes an attempt with no 20-yard run a season in the past, labored behind the Wayne St. product for the third-straight week. Bush’s true backup totaled 101 yards on simply seven touches, displaying wonderful burst, interior toughness and versatility. If Reggie goes down, he will likely be a prime-20 RB in PPR.. Bernard Pierce could need to erase Thursday’s misstep towards Carolina from his collective memory. His 10 carries for seven yards and an awful fumble misplaced were puke-worthy. Tag-workforce associate Ray Rice, meanwhile, was respectable totaling 62 yards on sixteen carries. He also punched in a one-yard score. Higher days are forward for Pierce, who should internet 10-15 touches per game, however Rice is definitely in the driver’s seat, including objective-line touches..Terrell Pryor (7-9, 93 yds, TD, 37 rush yds, TD) is quickly becoming a passer of curiosity in two-QB setups. His twin-risk skills and improved polish were impressive against a combination of Bears regulars/second-stringers. Just like E.J. Manuel, he is value a flier in challenging formats. Sitting duck, Matt Flynn, is an abomination and will be fortunate to stave off the Grim Reaper earlier than Week 5. Plus, given how atrocious the Raiders are defensively, Pryor may turn out to be a legit Rubbish Time All-Star.. C.J. Spiller scared the bejesus out of prospective buyers after dropping to the ground and grabbing his knee put up-TD. Fortunately it was merely a flesh wound (spike to knee). The consensus prime-three decide reentered the game in opposition to Washington ending with 40 yards on eight carries. Fred Jackson, meanwhile, looked every bit of 32-years-previous..
Similar to Michael, Roy Helu is rapidly rising up the handcuff ranks. Lastly healthy, he was sensational against the Payments exhibiting marvelous cuts and acceleration in the ‘Skins’ zone-blocking scheme. In total he compiled 86 yards on 14 touches. If the incumbent suffered a devastating injury, he would be a strong candidate to notch RB prime-15 numbers.. Add Julius Thomas to the lengthy record of upside TEs. Local beat-writers have sung the his praises in current weeks predicting a breakout season. Based mostly on his terrific mix of measurement, pace and athleticism mixed with Peyton Manning’s growing confidence in him, Broncos scribes may very well be onto one thing. Targeted six instances in opposition to St. Louis, his time may indeed be now. Deep leaguers, circle the late-round lottery ticket in your cheat sheet.. As discussed beforehand, Chip Kelly’s offense is tailor-made completely for Michael Vick’s skill set, however the true purpose why No. 7 will reascend to fantasy greatness: Philly overly generous protection. A blind basset hound may rack substantial yards on that unit. Jordan Todman’s gaudy numbers Saturday are proof (8-105-1). Shootouts are a foregone conclusion for Vick this 12 months.. Possibly he wasn’t pressing the difficulty, however Jamaal Charles appeared a step slower against Pittsburgh (9 touches, 14 yards). The subsequent two weeks will be a godsend for his tender foot..From the ‘Please do not seduce me again’ file, Ryan Mathews is teasing the fantasy group to the very best of his skill. Though he misplaced a fumble at the goal-line, the rusher pounded the line of scrimmage, sprinted through holes and confirmed renewed nimbleness towards Arizona. Together with Saturday’s conflict in the desert, he is averaged a stout four.6 yards per carry this preseason. Behind an improved offensive line, in run-blocking phrases, he stays among the best bargains within the biz (ADP forty eight.5, RB26). Bury the hatchet.