Is giving Ubaldo Jimenez a four-12 months deal a very good gamble? (USATSI)
Associated: Baltimore agrees to sign Jimenez, pending physical
Although stories indicate the Orioles have signed Ubaldo Jimenez for the same deal to what the Twins gave Ricky Nolasco, I still can't get on board with a four-yr deal for Jimenez. There's merely too much questionable – or worse – on his resume to imagine he'll assist anchor the Orioles rotation in a constructive way for the next 4 years.
Yes, Jimenez was excellent in his final 12 starts final 12 months and was one of many higher pitchers within the majors in 2010, however every thing else appears like somebody who doesn't deserve greater than a one-yr, "present me what you can do" deal.
Even in that magical 2010 season – during which he started the All-Star Game and finished third in Cy Younger voting – Jimenez wasn't nice for the entire season. In his final 19 begins – more than half a season! – Jimenez was 6-7 with a 4.34 PERIOD and 1.29 WHIP. He followed that up by going 19-30 with a 5.03 PERIOD and 1.50 WHIP in 2011 and 2012 mixed, making him one of the worst common starters in all of baseball throughout those two seasons.
And then last 12 months, previous to his sizzling end, Jimenez was 7-5 with a four.49 PERIOD and 1.50 WHIP by way of 20 starts.
So, basically, what we're looking at with Jimenez is a pitcher who was lights out for 14 begins in 2010 and nice for 12 starts to complete the 2013 season. Put those together and it isn't even one full season. And otherwise, prior to now 4 years, Jimenez has been anywhere from comparatively common to downright dreadful.
The Orioles have hooked up themselves to Jimenez reportedly for 4 years at a round $12.5 million per season. He now will get to face the AL East frequently. In small samples, sure, however Jimenez's numbers against the Yankees (6.forty five PERIOD in 4 begins) and Red Sox (eleven.seventy two ERA in four begins) are brutal, too.
Now, we may attempt to spin this in a positive route. Let's achieve this for a second.
• Jimenez was an excellent groundball pitcher from 2008-11. Last season, he began to get back a bit to these groundball tendencies – and now he'll have Manny Machado and J.J. Hardy taking part in stellar infield defense behind him.
• Final season, Jimenez posted the best strikeout charge (9.56 Okay/9) of his career, too.
That is about all I can provide you with. Once more, the whole lot of Jimenez's upside will be seen in 26 sort of cherry-picked begins from 2010 and 2013. And his velocity has tumbled a number of miles per hour since his unbelievable stretch in 2010. Test it out, via brooksbaseball.net:
It is totally attainable Jimenez has reinvented himself – he did add a cutter to his repertoire last season – and the final 12 begins will snowball into Jimenez re-establishing himself as an All-Star-caliber pitcher. We have seen him carry out dominantly sufficient at times to warrant of venture, certainly – and I've zero challenge with the average annual value of the deal.
However Ubaldo Jimenez at this level is someone you gamble on with a one- or two-yr deal – not a 4-yr deal. The most definitely end result down the street is that the Orioles remorse this signing.